America’s most hated politician could lose his seat in Congress

Ol’ Texas Ted might be Cruz-n’ for a bruisen’
The Most Hated Man in the Senate
“To know Ted Cruz is to dislike Ted Cruz”
Accused of being lying and deceitful
A Tea Party candidate in 2012
Cruz earned the ire of the left and right
Dislike for Cruz could see a Democrat win
Allred led Cruz for the first time in the race
“I don't know about y'all but I'm fired up”
A previous poll from Morning Consult
Other polls say Cruz has a narrow lead
Looking at polling from a previous race
Cruz beat O’Rourke by a small margin
Where each candidate performed best
What will happen is unknown
The Texas Senate race is anyone’s game
Ol’ Texas Ted might be Cruz-n’ for a bruisen’

One of the most disliked politicians in the United States could soon be out of a job if the latest polls on the one state-level senate race are to be believed. Ted Cruz may lose his seat to challenger Colin Allred. 

The Most Hated Man in the Senate

In April 2013, Foreign Policy magazine labeled Republican Texas Senator Ted Cruz the “Most Hated Man in the Senate” and views about this controversial politician really have not changed over the decade. 

“To know Ted Cruz is to dislike Ted Cruz”

Republican consultant Matt Dowd once said on MSNBC’s ‘Deadline White House’ back in 2022 that “to know Ted Cruz is to dislike Ted Cruz” according to a quote published by Advocate. “Every time I think he can't go lower he goes lower.”

Accused of being lying and deceitful

“Cruz represents the Republican Party as good as anybody... he's willing to say or do anything including lying and deceiving,” Dowd continued, but this sentiment hasn’t been shared by the Texas electorate. 

A Tea Party candidate in 2012

Originally a Tea Party candidate, Cruz won a 2012 primary against Texas Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst in what The Washington Post called "the biggest upset of 2012" and "a true grassroots victory against very long odds."

Cruz earned the ire of the left and right

Since taking office, Cruz has been the focus of ire from both the left and the right for his odd political views but his time in government may be coming to an end if several recent polls on his current senate race with Democrat Colin Allred are to be believed. 

Dislike for Cruz could see a Democrat win

Texas has always been a traditionally Republican state, but dislike for Cruz in the state may finally see him unseated by a Democratic opponent. According to one recent poll from Morning Consult, Cruz was one point behind Allred. 

Allred led Cruz for the first time in the race

Conducted between September 8th and the 18th, the new polling from Morning Consult surveyed 2,716 likely voters and discovered that 45% favored Allred while 44% favored Cruz. However, the results were within the poll's +/-2 percentage point margin of error. 

“I don't know about y'all but I'm fired up”

"For the first time in this race, a new poll has us leading Ted Cruz by 1 point. I don't know about y'all but I'm fired up and ready to WIN! We've got 47 days, let's do this Texas," Allred wrote in a post on X about the Morning Consult poll. 

A previous poll from Morning Consult

Previous polling from Morning Consult conducted between August 30th and September 8th found that Cruz was leading Allred by 5 points, 47% to 42%. However, the margin of error for that polling was not available. 

Other polls say Cruz has a narrow lead

While Democrats shouldn’t get too excited just yet, there is other polling evidence that Cruz suggests the Texas Senator really could be in trouble. One poll from The Hill and Emerson College showed Cruz was only ahead of Allred by 4 points.

Looking at polling from a previous race

A four-point lead may seem like a lot, but a similar poll conducted from September 11th to the 17th in 2018—back when Beto O'Rourke challenged Ted Cruz’s senate seat—by Quinnipiac University found Cruz only led O’rouke by 9 points. 

Cruz beat O’Rourke by a small margin

Cruz would go on to win the election in 2018, but he did so with a rather tight margin for Texas, only beating O’Rourke by roughly 219,000 votes or by a meager 2.6 percentage points according to The Texas Tribune. 

Where each candidate performed best

“While Cruz had a strong showing across most of rural Texas, O'Rourke narrowed the margin by winning urban counties and coming within striking distance in some Texas suburbs,” The Texas Tribune’s Abby Livingston and Patrick Svitek reported. 

What will happen is unknown

Whether or not Allred can beat Cruz and win a Texas Senate seat for the Democrats is still unknown. The race is still very close, but Allred has a fighting chance and he may end up surprising the nation on election night. 

The Texas Senate race is anyone’s game

"The Texas Senate race is a tossup. It should have always been considered a tossup. That is not to say Cruz will lose, but the race should be looked at as anyone's game," the President and CEO of polling company The Bullfinch Group Brett Loyd told Newsweek. 

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