New details reveal Wagner’s casualties numbers in Ukraine

Here’s what we know
Unverified claims
Few made it out unscathed
Wagner’s total forces in Ukraine
A statement from Marx
Most were convict soldiers
Tens of thousands killed
Even more were wounded
Only a few didn’t get hurt
Why now?
“Here’s the real math.”
Thousands still alive
Nearly half went to Belarus
It’s not possible
Losses are tough to confirm
Prigozhin’s coup
Interesting if true
Here’s what we know

Yevgeny Prigozhin’s Wagner Group mercenaries had a twenty percent chance of being killed or wounded while fighting in Ukraine according to newly released casualty figures. 

Unverified claims

The unverified rates of injury and death among Prigozhin’s mercenaries in Ukraine were provided by a Wagner-affiliated Telegram channel according to The Kyiv Post with Newsweek and Politico also picking up the story. 

Few made it out unscathed

Nearly one in five of the Wagner soldiers who fought in Ukraine were either wounded or killed or based on the figures given, leaving few unharmed in their combat operations.  

Wagner’s total forces in Ukraine

A total of 78,000 thousand Wagner mercenaries fought for Russia in Ukraine based on numbers from the roughly translated Telegram channel known as Wagner Loading according to Politico.

A statement from Marx

The independent Russian news website Meduza noted the information was published as part of a statement from a Wagner commander known by the callsign Marx. 

Most were convict soldiers

The statement claimed that 49,000 of the mercenary group’s soldiers were made up of convict soldiers, criminals who were enlisted to fight from the Russian prison system. 

Tens of thousands killed

The Wagner-affiliated Telegram channel noted 22,000 of Prigozhin’s mercenaries were killed in the fighting from the beginning of the war through to Bakhmut’s capture in May.  

Even more were wounded

An even greater number of soldiers were wounded and the statement on Wagner Loading noted 44,000 of the mercenary group’s soldiers were hurt in some way during their time in Ukraine. 

Only a few didn’t get hurt

The Kyiv Post pointed out that only 16,000 of Prigozhin’s soldiers made it through the entire period Wagner was active in Ukraine without getting injured during the fighting. 

Why now?

These figures seem to have been released in response to a claim that 33,000 Wagner soldiers signed contracts with the Russian Ministry of Defense after the group’s coup. 

“Here’s the real math.”

“I cannot say where the 33,000 people who went to the Ministry of Defense came from,” the statement on Wagner Loading read based on a translation by the Kyiv Post. “Here’s the real math.”

Thousands still alive

The statement went on to explain the group's casualty figures and then revealed that a total of 25,000 soldiers were still alive before going on to explain their whereabouts. 

Nearly half went to Belarus

“Of those, up to 10,000 have left and are leaving for Belarus,” the statement claimed according to a translation from Politico, and added that 15,000 of the troops were on leave. 

It’s not possible

“I don’t know where the 33,000 who left for the military came from. If all those who were killed and are on leave have signed contracts, then it’s possible,” the statement from Marx on the Wagner-affiliated Telegram channel noted.

Losses are tough to confirm

Newsweek pointed out the claims made on Wagner Loading could not be verified, noting: “Battlefield losses on either side of the ongoing war in Ukraine are difficult to calculate” and adding the Russian Ministry had been reached out to for comment. 

Prigozhin’s coup

In the wake of Prigozhin’s failed coup against leaders in Moscow, Wagner’s soldiers were given a choice to join Prigozhin in exile in Belarus or they would be allowed to sign a contract with the Defense Ministry according to a July 12th Associated Press report. 

Interesting if true

The number of troops who decided to follow Prigozhin to Belarus or sign a contract with Moscow is not known, and if Wagner Loading’s figures are true, it would provide a very interesting insight into what’s been happening with the mercenary group since the coup. 

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