Wagner leader claims tens of thousands were killed in Bakhmut

How many actually died fighting for Russia?
We lost 20% of 50,000 troops
Breaking with Moscow
More revelations
Ukraine has a strong army
Biden's comments on casualties in Bakhmut
The situation in Ukraine
The spring counter-offensive
Hoping for success
A besieged city
The cost of the battle
An accurate estimate?
Total Russian troop casualties according to Ukraine
Bigger than most armies
Propaganda for support?
Britain Ministry of Defense
Estimates from US intel seen by Ben Wallace
220,000 dead or injured
A tough fight if true
Was it worth the cost?
Suffering 100,000 casualties
How many actually died fighting for Russia?

Wagner Group founder Yevgeny Prigozhin has claimed that 20,000 of his mercenary soldiers were killed in the battle to win Bakhmut during an interview with Russian journalist Konstantin Dolgov.

We lost 20% of 50,000 troops

"Throughout the [entire combat] operation, I recruited 50,000 prisoners, of which about 20% died. Exactly the same number died as those who signed up through a contract," Prigozhin told Dolgov in a video interview according to an English translation provided by The Moscow Times.

Breaking with Moscow

The Associated Press reported that Prigozhin's figures broke with Moscow's official January figures of losses, which claimed only 6000 soldiers had been killed throughout the entire course of the war.

More revelations

Prigozhin revealed more than just Wagner's troop losses during his interview with Dolgov and said that Ukrainian forces were some of the fiercest fighters he and his mercenary group had ever faced.

 

Ukraine has a strong army

“I can say from my own experience, we have fought in many places with many people,” Prigozhin said. “Today, the Ukrainians are one of the strongest armies. They have a top level of organization, high levels of training, and great intelligence," Prigozhin said according to The Hill.

Biden's comments on casualties in Bakhmut

News of 20,000 killed Wagner soldiers comes on the heels of a rough estimate from U.S. President Joe Biden that pegged Russian losses in Bakhmut at 100,000 casualties while at the G7 summit in Japan.

The situation in Ukraine

Biden was answering questions during a press conference at the Hilton Hiroshima when his attention was brought to the situation that was unfolding on the frontlines in Ukraine. 

The spring counter-offensive

Speaking first about whether or not Ukraine’s much-anticipated spring counter-offensive had begun, Biden said he couldn’t say but mentioned he had discussed it with Zelensky. 

Hoping for success

The President explained that war was uncertain but he hoped for a successful offensive so that Russia could see the cost of fighting, specifically citing the cost to take Bakhmut.

A besieged city

“Bakhmut is a discussion about whether or not it's been lost or whatever,” Biden noted, referencing claims that the besieged city had finally been captured by Russian forces. 

The cost of the battle

“And, well, the truth of the matter is the Russians have suffered over 100,000 casualties in Bakhmut. That’s hard to make up. That’s hard to make up,” the President explained.

An accurate estimate?

Biden has rarely given exact figures when discussing casualties in the conflict but the number he gave in Japan could be fairly accurate if paired with the other evidence. 

Total Russian troop casualties according to Ukraine

On May 17th, Ukraine’s General Staff noted in its daily war update that it estimated the Russians had suffered over 200,000 soldiers lost throughout the course of the conflict. 

Bigger than most armies

“The figure means Russia has lost a number of troops so large – 200,590 – it surpasses many countries’ entire serving armed forces,” Kyiv Post journalist wrote on May 21st. 

Propaganda for support?

It's difficult to know whether or not the numbers quoted by the Ukrainian General Staff are accurate since they could be propaganda aimed at bolstering Western support.

Britain Ministry of Defense

However, we do know from more accurate sources that the number of casualties Russia has suffered probably does surpass 200,000 according to Britain’s Defence Secretary. 

Estimates from US intel seen by Ben Wallace

On March 29th, UK Secretary of Defence Ben Wallace said during an interview with Sky News that the latest US intelligence he had seen pushed Russian losses over 200,000.

220,000 dead or injured

"The Russian forces have some really significant and deep systemic problems at the moment in their efforts,” Defence Secretary Wallace explained. “The latest US assessments I have seen now put casualty figures over 220,0000 dead or injured."

A tough fight if true

If Wallace’s comments were true then it could be within the realm of possibility that Russia lost 100,000 soldiers in Bakhmut, which would be hard to make up as Biden said.  

Was it worth the cost?

On May 20th, Prigozhin announced in a video on his Telegram channel that his mercenary forces had finally taken full control of Bakhmut. 

Suffering 100,000 casualties

Time noted Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Maliar disputed the claim Russia had taken Bakhmut and said fighting was continuing. “The situation is critical," she said. “As of now, our defenders, control certain industrial and infrastructure facilities in this area.” But even if Russia has taken Bakhmut, was the cost in casualties really worth it?

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