Why did Ukraine invade Russia? Zelensky explained his reasoning

Zelensky speaks up
Ukrainian leaders have been quiet
Destroying Russian war potential
Creating a buffer zone with Russia
Looking for an off-ramp?
Ukraine must get stronger
Was invading the right choice?
Russia has had the initiative
Possible reasons for the invasion
The incursion changed the situation
The operation has risks
Ukraine is doing very well
Kyiv has captured a lot of prisoners
Things could get worse for Russia
The situation around the Seym River
Russian strength in the area is unknown
The next Ukrainian target
How will things unfold?
Zelensky speaks up

In August 2024, Ukrainian forces invaded the Kursk region of Russia in what some war analysts predicted was another cross-border raid against Moscow. However, this time, the attack was different.

Ukrainian leaders have been quiet

Within days it quickly became clear that the Ukrainian Armed Forces had intended to stay in the land that they were conquering, which begged the question: why did Ukraine decide to invade Russia?

Destroying Russian war potential

Ukrainian officials were initially cagey about their reasoning for attacking Russia. However, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky did eventually provide some insight into why Ukraine decided to invade Russia.

Creating a buffer zone with Russia

During his nightly speech to the Ukrainian people on August 18th, amidst the ongoing assault on Kursk Oblast, Zelensky hinted at the reason behind Kyiv's choice to enter Russian territory.

Looking for an off-ramp?

"It is now our primary task in defensive operations overall to destroy as much Russian war potential as possible and conduct maximum counter-offensive actions," Zelensky explained in his address about the operation. 

Ukraine must get stronger

"This includes creating a buffer zone on the aggressor’s territory — our operation in the Kursk Oblast,” Zelensky continued, according to a translation of his comments from The Kyiv Independent. 

Was invading the right choice?

Zelensky went on to explain that the “coming weeks will be crucial for our diplomatic efforts with various partners in Europe, America, and the Global South,” hinting that Kyiv might be looking for an off-ramp from the nearly three-year conflict. 

Russia has had the initiative

"We’ve already expanded and will continue to expand the circle of those who support a just end to this war. It's essential that Ukraine enters this fall even stronger than before." Zelensky added. 

Possible reasons for the invasion

Whether or not the decision to invade Russian territory was the right choice for Ukraine at that moment in the conflict was unclear but the move shook up months of positive news for Moscow as Russia has slowly etched out victory after victory. 

The incursion changed the situation

Russia had had the initiative in the war since Ukraine’s 2023 summer counter-offensive failed. In the months since, Moscow captured the fortress city of Avdiivka, made gains in eastern Ukraine, and came to threaten the key towns of Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk. 

The operation has risks

Ukraine might have opted to launch an invasion into Kursk as a means to slow Russian progress elsewhere on the battlefield, or as a potential land grab that could be traded for territory in a future peace, but the reasons remain unclear even if the attack has been a success so far. 

Ukraine is doing very well

The operation in Kursk is still ongoing but Olga Tokariuk of the London-based think tank Chatham House noted in an August 19th article that the incursion boosted Ukrainian morale, improved Ukraine's future negotiating position, and brought the war home to Russia. 

Kyiv has captured a lot of prisoners

The Kursk operation does have its risks, however. Tokariuk noted Russia pulled in soldiers from other fronts which has led to worries about Ukraine’s ability to hold the territory it’s captured. 

Things could get worse for Russia

As of November 7th, things were going quite well for Ukraine, which was still holding onto a vast stretch of Russian territory in Kursk and withstood a major Russian counter-attack to recapture what was taken by Ukraine.

The situation around the Seym River

According to comments Zelensky made on August 19th, Ukraine was in control of 92 Russian settlements in Kursk at the time and had captured 1250 square kilometers or roughly 482 square kilometers of territory since launching its incursion on August 6th. 

Russian strength in the area is unknown

"This operation has become our largest investment in the process of releasing Ukrainians from Russian captivity. We have already captured the largest number of Russian prisoners in one operation," Zelenksy wrote on Telegram, The Kyiv Independent reported. 

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The next Ukrainian target

On October 25th, The Washington Post reported that Russia had taken back roughly half of the territory captured by Ukraine in Kursk. However, the fighting is still ongoing and the full picture of the frontline is unclear.

How will things unfold?

How the situation will unfold has yet to be seen, but if Ukraine can capture the newly-threatened area, it would create a dilemma for Moscow and a large buffer zone between Ukraine and Kursk Oblast. 

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