A Trump presidency has Brexit Britain quaking at the knees

Blindsided
The outsider
Musk's ultra antics
Lammy's slurs
Grovelling
First in line
Bad news
Tariff trouble
A hit on growth
Exemption?
The not-so-special relationship
Fixing the EU fence
Brexit U-turn
EU's precarious future
Zero appetite
Polarizing issue
Schmoozing both sides
A different story
Blindsided

Donald Trump’s fast approaching occupancy of the White House is not quite what Britain had in mind when it voted to leave the European Union.

 

The outsider

Now the UK finds itself caught between a rock and a hard place, with the EU spurned and the US – its other biggest trading partner and security guarantor – threatening trade tariffs of up to 20% and a cut to its Nato budget.

 

"Trump's brain"

To make matters worse, tech trillionaire Elon Musk has become Trump’s right-hand man and efficiency tsar with some even calling him “Trump’s brain,” according to the BBC’s Today program.

Musk's ultra antics

The Labour government’s relationship with Musk grew fraught last summer when Musk was seen to fuel the ultra-right riots that broke out across the country on his social media site, X.

 

Lammy's slurs

Add to the toxic mix, the UK’s foreign secretary David Lammy’s less than complimentary comments about the President elect.

 

"Tyrant in a toupee"

In 2018, as a backbench MP, David Lammy called Donald Trump a “tyrant in a toupee” and a “woman-hating, neo-Nazi-sympathizing sociopath.”

Grovelling

Now, Lammy is scrambling to make amends, calling Trump “often misunderstood” and claiming JD Vance as “my friend.”

 

First in line

A nervous Starmer, on the other hand, was one of the first to congratulate Trump on his sweeping November 5 election win.

 

Bad news

But the fact remains, a Trump administration is far from good news for a post-Brexit Britain which has been struggling economically in recent years, with growth trailing both the EU and the US.

Tariff trouble

“What Trump wants to do on tariffs will hit us very hard indeed,” journalist and author Andrew Marr said in the New Statesman.

 

A hit on growth

“We’re talking about a 1% hit on GDP growth. It’s very tough news for the Labour party when it comes to economics.”

 

Exemption?

According to the Financial Times, the UK could try to persuade Trump that it should be excused from the punishing tariffs.

The not-so-special relationship

The response to the request is, like Trump himself, unpredictable, but a deal might be struck with the UK paying more for defense in return.

 

Fixing the EU fence

Another approach to saving the UK’s fragile economy from a downturn could be to cozy up to the EU and build on the moves Starmer has already been making for closer ties.

 

Brexit U-turn

But the Financial Times lays out three reasons why rowing back on Brexit may not be either feasible or advisable.

EU's precarious future

Firstly, the news site points out that Europe’s future as a block looks precarious, a situation exacerbated by Trump’s prospective tariffs.

 

Zero appetite

Secondly, there is some doubt whether the EU would have any appetite to welcome Britain back, with all the wrangling that might entail.

 

Polarizing issue

And finally, Brexit is a polarizing issue which has already divided the country once and should probably not be revisited just yet.

"Beacon of stability"

On a more optimistic note, Andy Haldane, the former Bank of England chief economist, said in The Guardian that while America goes protectionist, Britain must do the opposite and become “a beacon of stability” in a stormy scenario.

 

Schmoozing both sides

It should schmooze both the EU and the US because seeking closer ties with the EU “does not preclude, as difficult as it will be, seeking out a free trade arrangement with the US under a new Trump presidency,” he pointed out.

 

A different story

“There is huge potential here to do something quite big and bold, to tell a different story,” he concluded.

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