Former NATO Commander reminds Russia of his stark prediction

Vladimir Putin will end up like Tsar Nicholas II
An online argument sparked by Sputnik
Who was quoted by the news outlet?
Recognizing Russia’s military strength
Comments quoted from Stavridis
A quick reply from an angry Stavridis
Prigozhin, NATO, and Putin’s likely fate
A message predicting Putin’s overthrow
When did Stavridis first make his prediction?
“He thinks he's Stalin conducting World War II”
Explaining his opinion on Putin’s fate
“The rumblings of discontent are evident”
High odds Putin will be overthrown
Putin needs to negotiate an end to the war
The odds of overthrow go up inexorably
Ukraine likely won’t trade land for peace
“No. This is our territory.”
Vladimir Putin will end up like Tsar Nicholas II

Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Admiral James Stavridis predicted that Vladimir Putin would be subject to the same fate as former Russia’s Nicholas II, the last Tsar of Russia, in an online scrap with Russian media. 

An online argument sparked by Sputnik

An online argument between Stavridis and the Russian news media outlet Sputnik was triggered when Sputnik published a post on Twitter quoting top officials associated with the alliance allegedly recognizing Russia’s military strength. 

Who was quoted by the news outlet?

Among those quoted by Sputnik were the current Secretary General of the alliance Jens Stoltenberg, as well as the Commander of NATO’s Multinational Corps Northeast, LTG Jürgen-Joachim von Sandrart and Admiral James Stavridis. 

Recognizing Russia’s military strength

The quotes of each leader appeared to cast Russia in a positive light with Sotltenberg’s comments focused on the tough defenses Moscow prepared against Ukraine's offensive while Von Sandrart’s quote noted Russia’s desire to win the conflict. 

Comments quoted from Stavridis

Putin’s economy is growing … and his armies … have stiffened into capable defenders behind their belts of mines, barriers, and tanks, all protected by air power Ukraine cannot match,” read the quote from Stavridis posted by Sputnik. 

A quick reply from an angry Stavridis

The retired American admiral and former NATO commander didn’t take too kindly to the post Sputnik published and responded to the Russian news outlet, informing its readers that the media agency that it forgot to publish another key quote. 

Prigozhin, NATO, and Putin’s likely fate

Stavridis wrote: “You failed to remind your followers I've also said this year that: Putin murdered Prigozhin, that Putin is the greatest salesman for NATO membership ever, and that he thinks he is Stalin but will end up like Nicholas II, the last Tsar of Russia.”

A message predicting Putin’s overthrow

While it may not seem like much, the last part of the retired admiral's message is a very important statement since Nicholas II was overthrown and abducted during the Russian Revolution. He was ultimately murdered along with his entire family in 1918. 

Photo Credit: Wiki Commons By Boasson and Eggler St. Petersburg Nevsky 24

When did Stavridis first make his prediction?

Stavridis predicted that Putin would face the same fate as Nicholas II in February 2023 while discussing the casualty rate Russia was suffering along the frontlines of the war at that time, specifically around the cities of Bakhmut and Vuhledar. 

“He thinks he's Stalin conducting World War II”

“He thinks he's Stalin conducting World War II. He's going to end up like Nicholas II, the last tsar of the Russians, because he is running out of these troops,” Stavridis explained to MSNBC’s Ali Veshi according to a video clip of the conversation. 

Explaining his opinion on Putin’s fate

Newsweek spoke with Stavridis via an email about his most recent comments online and the retired admiral provided more context on the serious situation he believes Putin will face as the war against Ukraine continues.

“The rumblings of discontent are evident”

"Putin continues to hold unitary power in Russia, but certainly the rumblings of discontent are evident—from the Prigozhin rebellion to the hundreds of thousands of young military-age males voting with their feet and departing their native land," Stavridis wrote. 

High odds Putin will be overthrown

"Over time, I'd say the odds are higher of Putin ending up being overthrown like Nicolas II than they are of him meeting a natural demise like Stalin,” the retired admiral went on to explain before providing the only way Putin could avoid that fate. 

Putin needs to negotiate an end to the war

Stavridis told Newsweek that Putin needed to negotiate an end to the conflict in Ukraine that would allow him to declare victory and hold onto the territory he captured as well as the land annexed in the Crimean Peninsula. 

The odds of overthrow go up inexorably

If Putin is unable to end the war on the terms Stavridis outlined, then the retired admiral noted that “the odds against him will inexorably go up,” adding in that sense, Putin had “already lost the war." 

Ukraine likely won’t trade land for peace

However, Ukrainian officials are unlikely to negotiate any peace that trades the country’s land in exchange for an end to the war. President Volodymyr Zelensky has proposed a ten-point peace plan that includes the restoration of Ukraine's territorial integrity. 

“No. This is our territory.”

When asked in September during an interview with CBS News if he would trade land for peace, Zelesnky said: “No. This is our territory.” Only time will tell if his words prove true, just as it will reveal if Admiral Stavridis' prediction about Putin was correct. 

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