Russia just lost a lot of troops in one day and its high casualties will only continue

Moscow is close to 650,000 losses
1,380 casualties over a single day
Are Ukraine's casualty estimates correct?
Looking to third parties for an answer
The UK Ministry of Defence provided insight
Russia likely has suffered over 610,000 casualties
A daily average casualty figure of 1,187 personnel
What is causing such high daily losses?
Russia’s ongoing offensives are an issue
High casualties are likely to continue
Russian daily loss predictions for September
Daily loss averages from May and June
Moscow is close to 650,000 losses

On September 10th, the Ukrainian General Staff reported that Moscow lost nearly 1,400 soldiers in one day. The casualty total from a single 24-hour period on the frontlines was another stunning indication of brutal fighting taking place. 

1,380 casualties over a single day

Russia suffered 1,380 casualties over a single day of fighting, which brought Moscow’s total casualty figure in the conflict up to 627,790 personnel since Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 according to the General Staff's estimations Newsweek reported. 

Are Ukraine's casualty estimates correct?

Whether or not the Russian casualty figures estimated by the General Staff are correct is a difficult question to answer since the Kremlin doesn’t publish any information on the losses its armed forces have suffered in the conflict. 

Looking to third parties for an answer

Ukraine is also one of the two belligerent nations involved in the fighting, so any figures published by the nation should be taken with a grain of salt. However, third-party groups have come to similar conclusions about Russia’s losses. 

The UK Ministry of Defence provided insight

One of the most reliable sources on Russian losses is the UK Ministry of Defence, which has been publishing daily updates about the ongoing conflict and often tackles casualty figures while offering the British government's perspective on the war. 

Russia likely has suffered over 610,000 casualties

In the UK Defence Ministry’s September 5th update on the war, it noted that Russia had likely suffered upwards of 610,000 casualties since the beginning of the conflict in 2022, and it also commented on Russia’s high daily casualty rate in August. 

A daily average casualty figure of 1,187 personnel

“The average daily Russian casualties (killed and wounded) in Ukraine has increased in August 2024 to 1,187 per day, according to Ukrainian General Staff,” the update noted before it assessed that Russia had likely seen roughly 610,000 casualties. 

What is causing such high daily losses?

Why Russian casualties were so high in August isn’t difficult to figure out. The Defence Ministry’s update reported Moscow was suffering a high number of killed and wounded military personnel because of the Kremlin’s ongoing offensives near Pokrovsk. 

Russia’s ongoing offensives are an issue

“The August 2024 increase in casualty rate is almost certainly due to Ukraine's Kursk operation and continued pressure on the Pokrovsk axis. Russia continues to rely on mass to mitigate their lack of personnel and equipment capability,” the update reported.

High casualties are likely to continue

“Although Russian pressure on the whole frontline will continue over the next month, their capability constraints will likely continue to reduce their ability to exploit any tactical successes into wider operational gains,” the war update added. 

Russian daily loss predictions for September

The UK Ministry of Defence also predicted that Russian forces would continue to suffer average daily losses above 1,000 soldiers per day in September as Russia’s operations continued across the frontlines from Kursk in the north to Robotyne in the south. 

Daily loss averages from May and June

At the beginning of August, the UK Defence Ministry broke down several months of loss figures and noted that Russian daily casualty rates were falling. May 2024 saw per day losses of 1,262 while June 2024 saw per day losses of 1,140.  

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