2023: The beginning of the end for Donald Trump?

A potential indictment
Dismal polls, scandals and tax fraud
Under scrutiny by federal and state prosecutors
$250 million civil lawsuit
Permanently bar the Trump family from directing a company in NY
Jan. 6 Committee criminal referrals
A symbolic act
Will the DOJ indict Trump?
Trump could campaign or serve from jail
Classified documents at Mar-a-Lago investigation
Dinner with an antisemitic rapper and a white nationalist
Trump’s wish to suspend the Constitution
“A very hard time being sworn in as president”
GOP support for Trump has gone down
Establishment over Q-Anon
Republican mega donors won’t support Trump either
Not one nickel for Trump
De Santis ahead of Trump
37% of Republicans didn’t want Trump to run for president
Trump is losing followers
Is 2023 the beginning of the end for Donald Trump?
A potential indictment

Heading into 2023, former President Donald Trump faces a number of ongoing legal issues, pluspotential indictment stemming from the Jan. 6 criminal referrals.

Dismal polls, scandals and tax fraud

Moreover, Trump's faced setbacks in court, dismal polls, scandals of his own making, and has seen his company being convicted of tax fraud.

Under scrutiny by federal and state prosecutors

Trump’s under scrutiny by federal and state prosecutors for his handling of classified documents, the effort to overturn the 2020 election results, and the accuracy of the Trump Organization’s business records and financial statements.

$250 million civil lawsuit

He’s also facing a $250 million civil lawsuit from the New York attorney general alleging he and his adult children were involved in a decade long fraud.

Permanently bar the Trump family from directing a company in NY

The attorney general is seeking to permanently bar them from serving as an officer or director of a company in New York state, among other penalties.

Jan. 6 Committee criminal referrals

The Jan. 6 select House committee voted to refer Trump to the Department of Justice for criminal investigation acussing him of obstructing an official proceeding, conspiracy to defraud the government, and inciting or assisting an insurrection.

A symbolic act

The panel itself does not have the ability to indict anyone, meaning the referrals will not carry legal weight, but they are a “huge” symbolic act, as described by the New York Times, in the sense that it’s an official statement saying they found Trump committed crimes.

Will the DOJ indict Trump?

Now it’s up to the Justice Department to assess the evidence and decide if they will indict Trump. However, the DOJ’s own investigation into Trump’s activities during the insurrection is already under way.

Trump could campaign or serve from jail

But even an indictment, or a felony conviction, couldn’t prevent Trump from running or serving in office; as residency, age and natural-born citizenship are the only requirements stated in the Constitution and Congress can’t alter that.

Classified documents at Mar-a-Lago investigation

The DOJ is also investigating Trump over his decision to take classified documents with him to Mar-a-Lago and refusal to give them back, despite being asked to do so on multiple occasions.

Dinner with an antisemitic rapper and a white nationalist

On top of it all, Trump drew massive backlash from Republicans for hosting a dinner with antisemitic rapper Ye (Kanye West) and white nationalist Nick Fuentes, as well as pushing for the suspension of the Constitution.

Trump’s wish to suspend the Constitution

Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social, referring to the 2020 election, that a"massive fraud" should allow "the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution."

“A very hard time being sworn in as president”

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said to reporters: "Anyone seeking the presidency who thinks that the Constitution could somehow be suspended or not followed, it seems to me would have a very hard time being sworn in as president of the United States."

GOP support for Trump has gone down

And McConnell is not the only Republican who doesn’t seem very fond of Trump anymore. CNN’s tracking analysis shows GOP support for Trump as the nominee slid from 53% in the second half of 2021 to 44% after the November mid-term elections.

Establishment over Q-Anon

In other words, Republicans might be getting tired of their Trump-curious phase and may want to return to a more traditional basis that opts for establishment over QAnon celebs.

Republican mega donors won’t support Trump either

Moreover, a growing group of Republican mega donors are backing a fresh crop of GOP presidential contenders for 2024, as they blame Trump for the party’s poor performance in the midterms.

Photo: Sharon McCutcheon/Unsplash

Not one nickel for Trump

“I’m not going to give Trump a f*****g nickel,” said New York-based businessman Andy Sabin, who donated $120,000 toward Trump’s failed 2020 reelection bid. He instead contributed $55,000 this year to a pro-DeSantis PAC.

De Santis ahead of Trump

According to a national poll by Marquette University Law School, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is tied with Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup, which puts De Santis ahead of Trump by 20 points (60%-40%).

37% of Republicans didn’t want Trump to run for president

According to YouGov’s latest poll, conducted in December, just 46% of Republican voters said they wanted Trump to run for their party’s nomination again, and 37% did not want him to run, the highest share yet of anti-Trump Republican voters.

Trump is losing followers

Until now, Trump still had the support of his loyal voters who seemed unbothered by any scandal he got himself into. But the most recent series of post-election polls show that this might be changing too.

Is 2023 the beginning of the end for Donald Trump?

There’s still a possibility of Trump becoming the Republican presidential nominee and even of being re-elected. However, several factors suggest Trump will have more challenges this time and 2023 is actually the beginning of the end for him.

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