Donald Trump just might get voted in as President once again

Donald Trump surprises us time and time again. As does just how much Americans seem to love this guy! Could Trump, with all his legal problems, actually end up back in the White House?

Well, it seems that yes, despite facing criminal charges for attempting to overturn an election, former president Donald Trump actually has a very good chance of winning back the White House in the next presidential election if things keep going his way. 

It is a scenario that has worried the liberal left and delighted the conservative right ever since the former president announced his plans to run for office again in 2024. However, few thought he could win with the issues he faced.  

Long before the former president was indicted on ninety-one different criminal charges at both the state and federal level, most people assumed that Trump would fade away into history as his actions caught up to him. 

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was floated as a real alternative to the former president for 2024 and it looked like the leader of the Sunshine State would end up outshining Trump in the early estimations of what Republican voters wanted. 

In December 2022, a USA Today and Suffolk University poll had DeSantis leading the former president by 23 points. Today, Trump is dominating every single one of his rivals in the Republican nomination race with a polling spread of plus 45.2 points according RealClearPolitic's November 6th averages.

The fact that Trump is likely to be the Republican nominee gives the former president a good shot at taking back the White House. Winning the nomination will force voters to choose between Joe Biden and Trump. 

“If nothing else, once you’ve won a major party nomination, you’ve got some significant chance of winning,” wrote Politico’s Rich Lowry, “just by dint of being one of two people in the country who could plausibly be president at that point.”

You might think that most Americans wouldn’t vote for four more years of chaos and a man who very well could be found guilty of attempting to overturn an election, but you’d be wrong. Recent polling has Trump ahead of Biden in several key states. 

The poll in question was conducted by two of the most reputable institutions in the U.S., The New York Times and Siena College Research, which found that if the election were held today then Trump would win five critical battleground states. 

Trump was +10 in Nevada, +6 in Georgia, +5 in Arizona, +5 in Michigan, and even +4 in Pennsylvania against Biden. These were all states that won Biden the election in 2020 and all states that he will need to win again in order to beat Trump in 2024 if he's the Republican nominee.  

“The world is falling apart under Biden,” 53-year-old Pennsylvania substation electrical specialist Spencer Wiess told the New York Times. Weiss was a former Biden backer but has realigned herself behind Trump because of the current president’s actions in office. 

“I would much rather see somebody that I feel can be a positive role-model leader for the country. But at least I think Trump has his wits about him,” Wiess continued. This is the type of attitude that could see Trump easily win in 2024. 

The average polling between Trump and Biden is still quite tight despite the findings by The New York Times. RealClearPolitics puts Trump at +0.9 ahead of Biden, which is an easy lead to lose by November 2024. However, Biden will face major challenges. 

Biden’s biggest concern should be how the 2024 election will be interpreted by voters. If it is a referendum on his time in office, then the state of the U.S. economy and Biden’s response to the current crisis in the Middle East could be a determining factor in the next presidential election.  

However, if the 2024 election can be framed as another fight for the soul of the nation, it is possible that Biden could eke out a win. But Trump still has a good chance of beating Biden even under those conditions. 

The only saving grace for some liberal voters may be the fact that the former president could end up ineligible to run for the presidency if he’s found guilty of one of the many charges that he’s currently facing. But that's a very complicated issue and one that isn't certain.

Unfortunately, the rules about who can run for the presidency are fairly ambiguous when it comes to convicted criminals. In October, Maggie Astor of The New York Times reported that Trump could still run for office even if he was convicted. 

“There are no limitations based on character or criminal record. While some states prohibit felons from running for state and local office, these laws do not apply to federal offices,” Astor wrote. But no one really knows what will happen, which is good for Donald Trump and bad for Joe Biden.