Trump vs. Harris might be the largest gender divide in election history

Harris leads Trump with 18 points among female voters

Turning away from critical female voters

Undecided women voters turning away from Trump

Support for his policies but not his attitude?

Biden won the majority of suburban women in 2020

Suburban women opposed Trump-backed candidates in midterm elections

Trump’s past sexist remarks didn’t cost him the presidency

Me too movement and Roe v. Wade overturn

The biggest gender gap in history?

With less than two months until Election Day, Trump vs. Harris could end up being the biggest gender divide in history, according to experts and the latest polls.

Harris leads Trump with 18 points among female voters

A recent ABC News/Ipsos poll shows that Kamala Harris’ 3-point lead over Trump is boosted by her wider advantage with women voters of 18 points over Trump.

Trump lacks support from women

Trump has a serious problem with women voters, and although it’s barely new information, it seems that it just keeps getting worse.

A clear triumph in the debate

After the first and only debate between Trump and Harris at the beginning of September, she emerged as the clear winner, according to several polls.

Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala

Moreover, after the debate Harris received pop icon Taylor Swift’s endorsement with a wink at JD Vance’s sexist comment about “childless cat ladies”.

Photo: Instagram @taylorswift

Going after Haley’s looks

The type of sexist comments that Trump himself has made on several occasions. During the New Hampshire Republican primary in January, for instance, he attacked his then rival Nikki Haley in his victory speech, by mocking the dress she wore that night.

Turning away from critical female voters

Political observers said then that the attacks resembled others the former president made on women and said that he could turn away critical women voters in the general election.

Undecided women voters turning away from Trump

“He won’t get women voters who are swing voters,” Juliana Bergeron, a New Hampshire Republican National Committee member told The Hill at that time.

Republican women rejecting him too

“I think there might be more women voters that are Republicans that he won’t get either. If it were to be a close election, yes, his comments could sway it,” she said.

E. Jean Carroll defamation case

At the beginning of the year as well, Trump was ordered to pay $83.3 million to writer E. Jean Carroll for defamation, following his misogynistic comments about her in public and in his socials.

A fund for women abused by Trump

Carroll, who claims she was abused by Trump in the 90’s, even said that she was thinking about creating a fund for the women who have been sexually assaulted by the former president, according to The Guardian.

A disrespectful president

Before the Iowa caucuses took place in January, CNN did a special on republican women who had moved away from Trump for different reasons. But most agreed he was disrespectful and didn’t behave as a president should.

Outrage over Trump’s comments

“The cake is baked with regard to voters’ outrage over Trump’s comments,” said Alice Stewart, a Republican strategist and CNN political commentator.

Support for his policies but not his attitude?

“Suburban women, in particular, are so disgusted, they would never support him or they are to the point to where they say, ‘I’ll support his policies and I’ll put up with the disgusting comments, Stewart added.

Biden won the majority of suburban women in 2020

Trump has struggled to win over women voters since 2018, particularly suburban college-educated women voters, data shows. In 2020 Biden won 54% of suburban women votes, according to the Pew Research Center.

Suburban women opposed Trump-backed candidates in midterm elections

Additionally, suburban women voters were opposed to many Trump-backed candidates in swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arizona during the 2022 midterm elections.

A narrow win of women in New Hampshire

And while Trump won the majority of women voters in the 2024 New Hampshire primary, it was by a relatively narrow 51% to 47%. By comparison, Trump won New Hampshire men 59% to 39%.

Trump’s past sexist remarks didn’t cost him the presidency

However, one has to consider Trump’s sexist remarks made in the past, didn’t prevent him from reaching the White House.

“Access Hollywood” tape

One month before the 2016 presidential elections, the now infamous “Access Hollywood” tape, in which Trump was heard bragging about groping women, was leaked. At the time, it was seen as a death sentence for the Trump campaign, but then he went on to beat Hillary Clinton.

Me too movement and Roe v. Wade overturn

However, the national conversation around women’s issues has changed drastically since then, with the “Me Too” movement, as well as the overturning of abortion rights (Roe v. Wade) by the Supreme Court, which includes three justices nominated by Trump.

Felony charges and unfounded claims

Not to mention his several felony charges and his unfounded claims of a stolen 2020 election, both reasons that account for suburban women losses, according to Alice Stewart, CNN political commentator. However the Roe v. Wade issue in particular has been a liability, according to Stewart.

An ill-defined stance on abortion

And the issue is clearly on Trump’s mind. In late August, he claimed that his administration “will be great for women and their reproductive rights” in Truth Social, a statement that was met with widespread incredulity after having called himself “the most pro-life president” in history.

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