Donald Trump is going to win in 2024

Ever since Donald Trump announced his candidacy for the 2024 presidential elections, people have been speculating about whether or not Trump has a real chance of winning the primary elections and becoming the Republican representative in 2024.

According to a recent article in The Atlantic, Trump's loyal base of supporters, even if it is shrinking, is the primary reason he could win the Republican nomination again.

As Yair Rosenberg points out in The Atlantic, polls conducted by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics indicate that around half of Republicans would vote for Trump again, despite being the first president to ever face criminal charges.

However, the Republican support of other candidates is still very divided between the still undeclared Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, entrepreneur and author Vivek Ramaswamy, and former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson.

In 2016 something similar happened among the Republican candidates, as reported by Politico at the time. Donald Trump was outpolled by the other Republican candidates time and again.

However, the division of GOP primary voters played in his favour, as did in-fighting among the other Republican candidates.

Even though Trump only had a third of the votes, he still came out victorious. What happened in 2016 has a good chance of occurring again.

As Brian Seitchik, a Republican strategist and former Trump campaign official, told Newsweek, "The fact is, the Republican Party really doesn't exist right now."

Seitchik continued adding, "It's not a party of ideas anymore. It's a party of fealty to Donald Trump."

Voters who still support Donald Trump today are a passionate bunch, mainly composed of hardcore conservatives and the disgruntled working class.

Trump knows how to speak to both of these groups, and he's very good at getting his message out to them.

Rosenberg sums up the power of Trump supporters nicely in The Atlantic, writing, "Trump's loyal base of supporters is a formidable force in any election..."

Rosenberg continued, "...and it's hard to imagine any other candidate being able to generate the same level of enthusiasm and energy among Republican voters."

In addition to his base of supporters, Trump has another advantage that could help him win the primaries despite all the setbacks he is currently facing: his willingness to play dirty.

As the article in The Atlantic notes, Trump's not afraid to attack his opponents, both in public and on social media.

Trump's also very good at getting his message out to his supporters. These factors will make it challenging for any Republicans hoping to challenge Donald Trump in the primaries.

Candidates will need to be able to withstand attacks from Trump and his supporters, and they'll need to find a way to get their own message out to voters.

Despite all of his legal issues and that polls show at least 50% of Republicans are ready for someone new to fill his shoes, Trump will be a formidable opponent in the Republican primary elections.

However, anything could still happen; for example, Trump could potentially underperform, or DeSantis, who has never run for President, could fall short of expectations during the race.

Another option is that a yet undeclared Republican candidate could surprise the United States and win the primaries.

Regardless, Donald Trump's base of supporters is loyal and enthusiastic, and he's shown that he's willing to do whatever it takes to win.

Any candidate hoping to challenge him will need to have a strong message and be prepared to weather attacks from Trump and his supporters.