On the brink: Are we one step away from World War III because of Ukraine?

The situation in Ukraine is not improving and there is a looming feeling of doom. If Ukraine loses to Russia what will happen next? Is a third world war inevitable?

While Albert Einstein predicted that the specifics of World War III were uncertain, he foresaw that World War IV would be fought with sticks and stones. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has heightened expert fears that we might be on the verge of this future global struggle.

Hans Kristensen is a name not many people know. He’s the head of the Nuclear Information Project at the Federation of American Scientists. His main responsibility, in a few words, is to ensure that the US government informs people about their policy on the use of nuclear weapons.

Over X (formerly Twitter), Kristensen revealed a small but catastrophic incident during the Russian invasion of Ukraine could accidentally trigger a nuclear war between Moscow and the Western nations.

According to Kristensen, a (presumably Ukrainian) drone attack on a Russian early warning radar facility in Armavir, in the southeast of the country, limiting Moscow’s capabilities to detect incoming nuclear attacks and disregard false positives.

Image: nukestrat / X

Military news website The War Zone explains that the Armavir radar station probably covered the area facing the Black Sea and the Crimean Peninsula, opening speculation in the Kremlin about Ukraine’s next target.

Not only that, but by compromising Russia’s early warning system, it raises the alarm at the Kremlin about a possible escalation on the use of nuclear weapons in the battlefield.

It also raises the question of a possible retaliation from Moscow. Maybe against radar facilities in Ukraine or even countries that are members of NATO, or some other direct actions.

Kristensen isn’t alone in his concern. British newspaper The Daily Mirror quotes former Russian Space Agency and current senator Dmitry Rogozin, who believes a nuclear conflict could be imminent following the radar station attack.

Rogozin claimed, without evidence, that the US government had previous knowledge of the attack, if it didn’t order the attack itself.

As head of Russia’s equivalent of the NASA, Rogozin had a hand developing RS-18 Sarmat, also known as Satan-II, Russia’s latest intercontinental ballistic missile.

According to The Daily Mirror, the Armavir radar station is one of the ten that exist all over Russia, and it might take over 18 months to repair. But how long will it take to repair peace and reestablish trust between Russia and the West?

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