Disastrous polling shows Trudeau and the Liberals have reached a new all-time low

How bad are the numbers?
A bruising year for the Trudeau
Supported by 16% of voters
The lowest support in modern history
How bad is the situation?
Trudeau’s approval has plummeted
Half of Canadians want Trudeau to resign
Other recent worrying polling
72% are dissatisfied with his government
Voting intentions remain unchanged
Trudeau’s support is at its lowest
Dissatisfied with Trudeau’s government
A three point increase
Trudeau isn’t a popular leader
69% said Trudeau should resign
Trudeau’s alarming situation
A seven point increase
Who would replace Trudeau?
Other ‘popular’ options
How bad are the numbers?

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the federal Liberal Party are in some serious trouble according to the latest polling from the Canadian market research firm Angus Reid. 

A bruising year for the Trudeau

At the end of what Angus Reid called a “bruising year for the federal Liberals,” the party was handed the worst support numbers that Angus Reid has ever recorded for the federal Liberals. 

Supported by 16% of voters

Support among decided and leaning voters was found to be down to just 16% according to the latest public opinion polling, but the situation is worse than that. 

The lowest support in modern history

Angus Reid noted in its analysis of its findings that Liberal support is at the lowest level for the party in modern Canadian political history. 

How bad is the situation?

Even in the worst electoral performance in the party’s 157-year history, the 2011 election under then leader Michael Ignatieff, the Liberals received 18.9 percent of votes from Canadians, and at minimum 17 percent in polling leading up to that election,” Anguis Reid reported.

Trudeau’s approval has plummeted

Another worrying finding Angus Reid made was that Trudeau’s approval rating has plummeted to an all-time low of 22%. 

Half of Canadians want Trudeau to resign

According to Anguis Reid’s findings, 46% of Canadians and 56% of current Liberal Party supporters think it is time for Trudeau to step aside and call a leadership race while 38% believe he should call a general election after the holiday break. 

Other recent worrying polling

Angus Reid’s disastrous findings come just a few days after polling from Leger, another well-respected Canadian public opinion and market research firm, revealed other concerning findings suggesting the majority of Canadians want Trudeau to resign. 

72% are dissatisfied with his government

Trudeau had had a difficult few weeks when the polling came out. However, the sudden resignation of his closest political ally and its disastrous fallout did not have a major impact on how Canadians intended to vote during the next election according to Leger. But there was an important reason why. 

Voting intentions remain unchanged

The data from Leger found that a large portion of Canadians still planned to vote for The Conservative Party (43%) while only 20% would cast their ballot for the Prime Minister's Liberal Party and 19% for the New Democratic Party (NDP). 

Trudeau’s support is at its lowest

According to Leger, Trudeau’s recent scandals in December hadn't hurt him with voters, but the right-leaning National Post pointed out that was mostly because Trudeau’s support had hit close to the lowest point it had ever been at the time. 

Dissatisfied with Trudeau’s government

Leger found nearly three-quarters (72%) of the Canadians that it surveyed between December 20th and the 22nd reported they were dissatisfied with Justin Trudeau’s government according to the market research firm. 

A three point increase

“This represents an increase of three points compared to the previous measurement,” Leger wrote in a report on its latest survey. However, this finding wasn’t the worst that Leger discovered with its latest research. 

Trudeau isn’t a popular leader

Trudeau was ranked third among party leaders in Canada with support from just 13% of Canadians. Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre ranked first with 31% of support and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh ranked second with 13% support. 

69% said Trudeau should resign

The most dire finding Leger made was that seven in ten Canadians (69%) thought that it was time for Trudeau to resign so that someone else could lead the Liberal Party into the next federal election, which was a major increase from previous findings and in line with what Angus Reid's recent polling revealed. 

Trudeau’s alarming situation

“This marks a seven-point increase compared to September 2024, the last time the question was asked,” Leger noted. 88% of Conservatives said that Trudeau should resign while 33% of Liberals said the same. 

A seven point increase

“In a late June 2024 Leger poll, 26% of Liberal voters said Justin Trudeau should not lead the Party in the next election (i.e., resign). 7-points less than what this poll found,” Leger noted before offering up the candidates Canadians most preferred to take over the party based on their support.

Who would replace Trudeau?

Trudeau’s former closest political ally, the now-resigned Finance Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland led the pack of possible Trudeau replacements with 15% of support, followed closely by a slew of other individuals. 

Other ‘popular’ options

Former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney held the second spot with 7% support while Dominic LeBlanc and Mélanie Joly were tied for third at 4%. However, whether or not Trudeau will step down has yet to be seen. 

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