Will Russia’s unexpected gesture open new doors in Washington?

Russia surprised the world
An unexpected move by Russia
The Russian Defense Minister reached out
The Pentagon provided some details
Maintaining lines of communication
Years of silence from the defense minister
The silence wasn’t Belousov's fault
Belousov is bad news for Ukraine
Developing a strong industrial base for war
Belousev was tapped for his expertise
Expect tighter integration
Opening the lines of communication
The summit might have worried Russia
An alliance aiming for confrontation
Moving towards Russia’s borders
How NATO plans to help Ukraine
Condemning Russia and China
Russia surprised the world

Not long ago Russia made a move that surprised the world and even had some people wondering if perhaps the ice relationship between the Kremlin and the White House might finally be warming up.

An unexpected move by Russia

When international leaders gathered at the 2024 NATO Summit in Washington they renewed their vow to support Ukraine. However, that is hardly newsworthy, but following the summit, nobody was prepared for what Russia did next.

 

The Russian Defense Minister reached out

Despite the politically charged statements that came from Russian leadership throughout the NATO summit, once it was over, a central figure in Moscow reached out to his counterpart in Washington following a period of silence according to the Pentagon. 

The Pentagon provided some details

One day after the 2024 Washington Summit ended, Russian Defense Ministry Andrey Belousov spoke with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, and the Pentagon provided a readout of what the two leaders spoke about during their call. 

Maintaining lines of communication

The information released by the Pentagon wasn’t much but it did note that Belousov “emphasized the importance of maintaining lines of communication amid Russia's ongoing war against Ukraine,” something that hasn’t been done as of late. 

Years of silence from the defense minister

The Hill reported that Austin last spoke with his counterpart in Moscow on June 25th, about two and a half weeks before their phone conversation that followed the NATO summit, but before that call no communication had happened since March 2023.

The silence wasn’t Belousov's fault

Belousov can’t be blamed for the relative lack of communication between Moscow and Washington since he only took over as the Russian Minister of Defense in May 2023 after Sergei Shoigu was promoted to Secretary of the Russian Security Council. 

Belousov is bad news for Ukraine

Whether or not Shoigu’s promotion was meant to be a promotion was hotly debated at the time, but one thing was clear about the move according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Belousov taking over as defense minister was bad news. 

Developing a strong industrial base for war

Belousov was a relatively unknown figure at the time but his appointment reflected what researchers at the Center for Strategic and International Studies said was the important role that a strong industrial base would play in their attritional war against Ukraine. 

Belousev was tapped for his expertise

Vladimir Putin tapped Belousov to run the defense ministry likely because of his record as a strong advocate of central planning, something Moscow would need if its hopes to develop a powerful wartime economy were going to come true. 

Expect tighter integration

“Under Belousov, Russia’s defense industry can expect tighter integration with the Ministry of Defense’s vision of the future Russian armed forces,” the researchers wrote about what the future will hold with Belousov heading up Russia’s Ministry of Defense. 

Opening the lines of communication

Despite his promotion, Belousov wasn’t quick to contact Washington and open up lines of communication after years of silence. The Hill noted the invasion of Ukraine seriously strained relations between Russia and the U.S., but the NATO summit may have prompted action. 

The summit might have worried Russia

The Hill’s Ellen Mitchell reported Moscow appeared to be roiled by the alliance’s choice to issue a communique that laid out new military spending and financial support, as well as a pledge to support Ukraine’s future membership in NATO.

An alliance aiming for confrontation

“NATO once again very clearly confirmed its essence. It is an alliance founded in an era of confrontation with the aim of continuing confrontation,” said Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov about the alliance’s plans on July 12th. 

Moving towards Russia’s borders

“We see in fact that the alliance’s military infrastructure is constantly and gradually moving towards our borders. … All of this will require us to take thoughtful, coordinated, and effective responses to deter and confront the alliance,” Peskov added. 

How NATO plans to help Ukraine

According to Reuters, the Washington Summit Declaration as it has been titled, outlined how NATO will take over some responsibility in the distribution of a $43 billion assistance fund aimed at supporting weapons procurement and training. 

Condemning Russia and China

The Washington Summit Declaration also condemned Russia’s irresponsible nuclear war rhetoric and the stationing of nuclear weapons in Belarus while also calling out China as a “decisive enabler” of Russia’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine. 

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