Michel Barnier appointed Prime Minister in France after weeks of political uncertainty

Michel Barnier at Matignon
An experienced profile from the right
A long political journey
A pending nomination
The Lucie Castets hypothesis rejected
Fear of a period of instability
Different names tested
More consensual profiles
Almost certain censorship
The President of the EESC
Criticism of Emmanuel Macron's method
Impeachment proceedings initiated
An improbable hypothesis
What majority for Michel Barnier?
The RN in the role of arbitrator
A situation that remains uncertain
A political crisis that is not over
Michel Barnier at Matignon

After several weeks of political uncertainty in the absence of an absolute majority in the National Assembly, French President Emmanuel Macron made a decision by appointing Michel Barnier as Prime Minister on Thursday, September 5.

An experienced profile from the right

Aged 73 (making him the oldest head of government of the Fifth Republic), Michel Barnier is an experienced figure in the right-wing Gaullist party Les Républicains.

A long political journey

First president of the General Council of Savoie, where he initiated the organization of the 1992 Albertville Olympic Games, Barnier then held several positions as minister and European Commissioner. He was notably the Brexit negotiator on behalf of the European Union.

A pending nomination

Nearly two months after the second round of legislative elections, France remained without a fully functioning government due to the absence of the appointment of a successor to Gabriel Attal.

The Lucie Castets hypothesis rejected

The candidate for Matignon from the left-wing coalition who came out on top in the elections, Lucie Castets, had been definitively sidelined by Emmanuel Macron.

Fear of a period of instability

The President of the Republic had judged that it would be immediately censored by the other groups in the National Assembly, which would have opened a period of political instability.

Different names tested

In recent days, consultations between the head of state and representatives of political parties have taken place and several names have been tested. Without success until this Thursday.

More consensual profiles

Considered more consensual than Lucie Castets, the former Prime Minister of François Hollande, Bernard Cazeneuve, and the former minister of Jacques Chirac and Nicolas Sarkozy, Xavier Bertrand, were considered to lead the government.

Almost certain censorship

However, the lack of support for these names from the far-right National Rally (RN) and the left-wing coalition would have made a rapid censorship of these two personalities almost certain.

The President of the EESC

Earlier this week, the possibility of nominating the president of the Economic, Social and Environmental Council (CESE), Thierry Beaudet, was also raised. But it was quickly dismissed due to the political inexperience of the person concerned.

Criticism of Emmanuel Macron's method

Emmanuel Macron has been the subject of criticism from a large part of the political class, both for his method of postponing the nomination for a long time and on the substance, with the left considering itself legitimate in imposing on Matignon the personality it has chosen.

Impeachment proceedings initiated

The La France Insoumise (LFI) group in the National Assembly has just initiated a procedure to impeach the President of the Republic, which has been signed by 81 deputies.

An improbable hypothesis

However, the hypothesis of an impeachment of Emmanuel Macron remains very unlikely at this stage, given the institutional obstacles to the procedure and the lack of support from other political parties for this initiative.

What majority for Michel Barnier?

In the meantime, Michel Barnier will have to rely on a majority, even a relative one, to be able to govern. The LR groups and those from the presidential camp total 231 deputies, which is less than the absolute majority set at 289 seats.

The RN in the role of arbitrator

Since the left can only oppose the nomination of a right-wing personality, the RN finds itself in a position of arbiter for the investiture of the government.

A situation that remains uncertain

"We will judge on the evidence," said far-right MP Sébastien Chenu, quoted by Les Échos , suggesting that his party does not guarantee not to censor the new executive.

A political crisis that is not over

Although France once again has (at least temporarily) a Prime Minister, the political crisis triggered by the dissolution is not over, between the upcoming budget vote, the mobilisation of the left and the constant absence of a majority in Parliament.

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