Putin is finally getting the new nuclear policy reforms he desperately wanted

Putin is pleased
“This is the prerogative of our specialists
The new changes will soon be legalized
The threshold for a nuclear response was lowered
Addressing Russia’s Security Council
Changes made in response to new threats
What the updated doctrine will include
Conditions needed for a nuclear response
Reliable information about a massive attack
Russia reserves the right to protect Belarus
Attacks that could prompt a nuclear response
A veiled threat against the West?
What Putin really said was added
Russia’s current nuclear doctrine
A convoluted web of justification
Ukraine response to Putin’s remarks
The European Union's response
The EU strongly rejects Putin’s threats
No word from Washington yet
New threats amid Russia’s challenges
Putin is pleased

The Kremlin's Press Secretary, Dmitry Peskov, disclosed on September 29th that the Russian Ministry of Defense shall soon receive the authority to determine whether the conditions justify the use of nuclear devices in upcoming conflicts.

“This is the prerogative of our specialists"

“This is the prerogative of our specialists, our military, who are closely monitoring the weapons used and how they are being employed,” Peskov told journalists, adding that the military was responsible for tracking any "direct involvement" Western nations had in the ongoing war in Ukraine.

 

The new changes will soon be legalized

The Moscow Times also noted Peskov confirmed that proposed changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine would soon be legalized, a remark referring to a set of proposed changes to Russian nuclear policy that were outlined by Vladimir Putin during a recent meeting of the Russian Security Council.

The threshold for a nuclear response was lowered

On September 24th, Russian President Vladimir Putin increased his nuclear rhetoric while speaking in front of senior officials. Several news organizations reported that Putin’s comments were seen as a new threat against the West. 

Addressing Russia’s Security Council

While addressing Russia’s Security Council, Putin revealed that the country’s nuclear doctrine had been revised, a process that Russian officials like Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov have previously discussed in public remarks.

Changes made in response to new threats

Putin told members of the Russian Security Council that revisions to Russia’s nuclear doctrine were made as a result of the “emergence of new sources of military threats and risks for Russia and our allies” according to a translation from The Washington Post. 

What the updated doctrine will include

“The updated version of the document proposes that aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear-weapon state, but with the participation or support of a nuclear-weapon state, should be considered as a joint attack on the Russian Federation,” Putin stated. 

Conditions needed for a nuclear response

Putin didn’t reveal whether or not Moscow would respond to an attack by a non-nuclear state backed by a nuclear one with nuclear weapons, but he did note the conditions for such a response would be contingent on reliable information about an impending attack. 

Reliable information about a massive attack

More specifically, The Washington Post reported Putin said the conditions of a nuclear launch in response to an attack would be “reliable information about a massive launch of aerospace attack means and their crossing of our state border.”

Russia reserves the right to protect Belarus

“We reserve the right to use nuclear weapons in the event of aggression against Russia and Belarus as a member of the Union State,” Putin added. The Russian President also provided some other important clarification on the changes to Russia’s nuclear doctrine. 

Attacks that could prompt a nuclear response

Militarnyi reported that Putin stated Russia could launch nuclear weapons not only as a response to aviation but also to “cruise missiles, drones, hypersonic and other aircraft.”

A veiled threat against the West?

Putin’s remarks on the proposed changes to be made to Russia’s nuclear doctrine were interpreted to be a threat against the West. Several news outlets pointed out Putin's remarks meant Russia saw an attack launched against Russia by a non-nuclear state backed by a nuclear one as a joint attack against the country. 

What Putin really said was added

Reuters noted the changes outlined by Putin brought Belarus under Russia’s nuclear umbrella and he added “the idea that a rival nuclear power supporting a conventional strike on Russia would also be considered to be attacking it.” 

Russia’s current nuclear doctrine

“Russia's current published nuclear doctrine, set out in a 2020 decree by Putin, says Russia may use nuclear weapons in case of a nuclear attack by an enemy or a conventional attack that threatens the existence of the state,” Reuters reported. 

A convoluted web of justification

Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory could draw Kyiv’s Western partners and allies into Moscow’s convoluted web of nuclear retaliatory strike justification. However, neither the Ukrainians nor some of their Western allies seemed to be worried about Putin’s remarks. 

Ukraine response to Putin’s remarks

President Volodymyr Zelensky’s Chief of Staff Andriy Yermak dismissed Russia’s new nuclear doctrine according to The Guardian: “Russia no longer has any instruments to intimidate the world apart from nuclear blackmail. These instruments will not work.”

The European Union's response

On September 26th, the European Union spokesperson Peter Stano, said that Russia was “playing gamble with his nuclear arms" when asked how the union would react to Russia’s lowered nuclear response threshold according to Ukrainska Pravda. 

The EU strongly rejects Putin’s threats

"We, of course, strongly reject these threats and the position of the European Union remains unchanged," Stano added. 

No word from Washington yet

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken called the Russian President's remarks "totally irresponsible" during an MSNBC interview according to Reuters. 

 

 

New threats amid Russia’s challenges

Putin’s comments came as Ukraine was intensifying its attacks deep into Russian territory and as the Ukrainians continued their invasion of the Kursk region of Russia. Kyiv was also looking to Washington and London for permission to use long-range ballistic missiles against targets inside of Russia. 

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